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Significance

The unusual attack by a member of the premier’s own party references long-standing divisions within Israel’s right wing about the decision to evacuate Gaza settlements nearly two decades ago. It also highlights the subsequent sustained failure to find a new paradigm to address the Palestinian issue.

Impacts

Israel will double down on its long-standing goal of reducing the role of the UN Palestinian Refugee Agency, UNRWA.

The ambiguous attitudes towards Hamas of Iran and Lebanese Hezbollah may reduce regional escalation risks.

Past actions suggest a return to office by former US President Donald Trump could have a dramatic impact on US Gaza war policy.

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