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Significance

The summit set an agenda for future talks but the absence of Russia and China, as well as reduced representation from the Global South, meant that ambitions for the meeting were limited from the outset. Participants focused on food security, nuclear safety and the exchange of prisoners of war.

Impacts

Moscow is likely to continue making modest gains on the battlefield as Ukraine recovers slowly from shortages of munitions and manpower.

China will continue to support Moscow significantly but will refrain from supplying military hardware.

Many countries of the Global South will remain less concerned about the war in Ukraine than those in the West.

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