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Significance

In response, the National Assembly of BiH’s Serb-dominated entity Republika Srpska (RS) adopted a set of controversial declarations, triggering a new intervention from the Office of the High Representative (OHR). The escalation comes amid Dodik’s medical issues and absence from public life, which have fuelled rumours about his succession.

Impacts

BiH’s EU membership path is likely to incur the greatest collateral damage of new tensions in the country.

The US embassy is increasingly involved in BiH internal politics.

Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic will have a major influence on any tensions in BiH, due to his ties to Dodik.

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