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Subject

Coalition stability.

Significance

One month after October's inconclusive parliamentary elections, the largest party in the new parliament, centre-right Citizens for Bulgaria's European Development (GERB), formed a disparate coalition of four political formations that ranged from centre-left (Alternative for Bulgarian Renaissance -- ABV) to far-right (Patriotic Front -- PF). Four months later, Prime Minister Boyko Borisov's greatest achievement is that his unlikely government is surviving and the country's political stability is not seriously threatened either on the streets or in parliament. The downside is that much of the government's energy is spent on ensuring its survival, with little time or effort left for expected reforms.

Impacts

The reform process may be sacrificed to the needs of stability and electoral gain.

The government faces no visible opposition, with BSP largely impotent, and DPS tacitly working with Borisov.

Further instability in Ukraine could have an impact on Bulgaria's security and supplies of gas.

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