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Significance

This is the first time that an opposition party has won a multi-party election in Nigeria. Popular support has never before trumped the advantages of incumbency which have historically been used to rig or win elections. The impartiality of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and the clear margin of victory give a strong and legitimate mandate to the incoming government.

Impacts

After pulling off a credible election in difficult circumstances, Nigeria may seek to re-assume its moral regional leadership role.

The government and armed forces will be given renewed confidence to tackle Boko Haram, possibly with more international support.

Policy focus will have similarities (eg electricity and agriculture) but also differences (eg youth employment and security sector reform).

Without being hampered by corruption and low public support, the APC should be better placed to deliver.

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