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Significance

On March 31, COSATU expelled former Secretary-General Zwelinzima Vavi -- ostensibly for "misconduct". The move exposes deep rifts within the labour movement, which make an easy reconciliation highly unlikely.

Impacts

The official opposition Democratic Alliance's leadership race could exacerbate factionalism, weakening it ahead of 2016 municipal polls.

Gold mining firms' inability to meet the National Union of Mineworkers' 75% pay hike demand is likely to result in a strike.

Manufacturers are likely to refrain from hiring -- at least until uncertainties over union rivalries and access to US markets are resolved.

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