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Subject

Outlook for infrastructure in Ivory Coast

Significance

Minister for Petroleum and Energy Adama Toungara last month stated that Ivory Coast needs to invest 20 billion dollars in power infrastructure to 2030 to meet domestic demand and become a regional energy hub. The projection follows pledges from President Alassane Ouattara to accelerate infrastructure investment if he secures a second term in the October presidential elections.

Impacts

The Special Investigation and Examination Cell's failure to bring any 2010-11 atrocities to court will hurt trust in the judicial system.

Opposition hardliners supporting former President Laurent Gbagbo could boycott the poll, risking some electoral violence.

However, moderate mainstream opposition represents a larger constituency and is unlikely to opt for violence.

Ouattara will avoid pushing reforms that affect the commercial interests of senior military figures, deferring reforms to the gold sector.

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