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Significance

The budget was the first Conservative-only budget since 1996. Driven by political as much as economic considerations, it aimed at entrenching the Conservatives in the political centre ground, in particular through the introduction of a statutory 'living wage' higher than the current minimum wage. The budget did not give priority to longer-term economic weaknesses, especially low productivity. However, the government is expected to address productivity in a follow-up package of supply-side measures today.

Impacts

Osborne's combination of welfare cuts with a minimum wage rise aims to increase incentives to work.

However, it risks checking employment growth in low-wage industries.

Osborne's introduction of the 'living wage' has discomforted the main opposition Labour Party.

The two-part budget-plus-productivity-plan is a public showing for the important tandem of Osborne and new Business Secretary Sajid Javid.

Any fresh Greece-related euro-area slowdown would hit UK export growth, stoking eurosceptic demands for weaker trade ties with the EU.

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