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Significance
Both the pro-government Great Patriotic People's Pole (GPP) alliance and the opposition MUD are struggling to maintain unity ahead of the December 6 elections. Against a backdrop of partisan squabbling, the falling international gold price is accelerating the deterioration of the national economy.
Impacts
Conflicts within and between the alliances will rise as partisan tensions escalate and factions seek to leverage influence.
No change in economic policy can be expected; any revision of economic strategy will only come post-election.
Opinion polls will give conflicting readings as voters keep their political options open ahead of the December contest.
Keywords:
Venezuela,
LA/C,
Guyana,
United Nations,
economy,
industry,
international relations,
politics,
border conflict,
consumer,
debt,
election,
gold,
government,
legislation,
military,
oil,
opposition,
party,
police,
prices,
security
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2015
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