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Subject

Prospects for Syria and Iraq in 2016.

Significance

Russia's direct military intervention in Syria and terrorist attacks by the Islamic State group (ISG) against Russian and French targets have sparked unprecedented diplomatic activity around the Syrian conflict, suggesting that a political solution could see the light in 2016. In Iraq, Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi's leadership faces a 'make-or-break' year as he seeks to handle the campaign against ISG, an economic crisis, and a political backlash against his reform programme.

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