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Significance
Kanu's arrest in October on treason and other charges ignited deadly protests in ethnic Igbo-dominated regions, spurring speculation of a violent revival of the Biafran separatism that caused the 1967-70 Civil War.
Impacts
Elders in Igbo communities outside the south-east will strike a conciliatory tone with other groups, reducing the risk of clashes.
Literary output by Igbo authors such as Chinua Achebe will add to nostalgia for the Biafran cause among the global diaspora.
Niger Delta militants will threaten further attacks on oil pipelines to pressure Buhari to continue their amnesty payments beyond 2017.
Political fallout from the army raid on a Shia sect in December risks escalating Shia-Sunni tensions.
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2016
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