Outlook for race and politics in South Africa
A rash of racially derogatory statements on social media, including by prominent government and business figures, and subsequent outrage is raising concerns that the careful reconciliation process led by former President Nelson Mandela is unwinding. The tensions are a symptom of economic malaise, persistent inequality and the current ANC leadership's disinterest in revising nation-building.
Fears over being accused of racism will cause many business leaders to self-censor, undermining trust between them and government.
Concerns over racial tensions coupled with high crime rates and the flagging economy could raise emigration rates.
Anger over colonial symbols, eg statues, could lead to their removal, as was the case with the Cecil Rhodes statue in Cape Town.
However, it is unlikely to drive inter-racial violence; poor, majority-black shantytowns will remain worst affected by crime and violence.
