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Significance
It follows rebel leader Riek Machar's return to the capital and inauguration as vice-president on April 26. The TGNU's formation is central to the peace agreement signed in August last year, and is a positive step towards ending the civil war, which has resulted in over 50,000 civilian deaths.
Impacts
Civilians displaced by fighting will return to stable areas, but local-level disputes could drive new outflows in some regions.
Oil output will increase if the Unity fields are re-opened, but the revenue benefits for Juba will be subdued due to low oil prices.
The 12,000-strong UN peacekeeping force will prove insufficient to maintain security, especially in remote areas.
Keywords:
South Sudan,
AF,
industry,
politics,
civil war,
government,
oil,
opposition,
policy,
economy,
constitution,
corruption,
fiscal
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2016
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