Open figure viewer
Subject
The chances of political game-change by the 2018 elections.
Significance
Governing Fidesz has lost the political momentum it gained from its tough stance on refugees. Its response to the widely supported teachers' movement and scandals at the Hungarian Central Bank (MNB) have sapped its popularity. Fatigue with a party that has ruled Hungary single-handedly since 2010 gives the opposition a chance to challenge its hegemony.
Impacts
Fidesz will maintain its combative position towards the EU on refugee quotas to regain its lost popularity.
Jobbik's ideological moderation will attract undecided voters unless it succumbs to internal divisions.
Left-wing parties may draw on civil society opposition movements and organise referendums on controversial issues.
Keywords:
Hungary,
EUR,
EU,
politics,
election,
government,
opposition,
party,
referendum,
economy,
international relations,
social,
constitution,
corruption,
education,
foreign policy,
immigration,
judicial,
legislation,
monetary,
refugees
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2016
You do not currently have access to this content.
