Jihadist groups' territorial strategies.
Islamic State group (ISG) is just one of a number of jihadist entities using the security vacuum in the Middle East, North Africa and beyond to seek territorial control and establish government according to a purist understanding of Islam. Other groups such as Jabhat al-Nusra, al-Qaida in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) and Boko Haram are seeking similar goals in Syria, Yemen and Nigeria, respectively.
The risk of ethnic and sectarian cleansing will increase.
International efforts to strengthen central governments and their militaries will rise.
Loss of territory in Iraq and Syria will reduce ISG's appeal to foreign fighters.
Resource constraints mean public service provision in jihadist-run areas will be poor.
