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Significance

Tanzania is leading the Burundi peace negotiations. This is part of a growing regional role for the country, economically and diplomatically, which is raising its international profile.

Impacts

Tensions with Kenya may increase as Tanzania's economic, political and diplomatic influence grows.

Political tensions with the opposition in Zanzibar could create instability, straining relations with donors.

Relations with China will deepen, especially if new large-scale projects proceed.

Tanzania may play a larger role resolving upcoming political flashpoints, eg the scheduled 2016 elections in the DRC.

Domestic opposition may seek external support if the regime continues to suppress political expression.

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