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Subject

The role of civil society in China-Myanmar relations.

Significance

Myanmar's political transition, following the 2010 and 2015 elections, provides new space and opportunities for civil society, challenging China's long-standing position as the country's most important foreign partner.

Impacts

Lack of skills to engage with civil society in Myanmar will jeopardise China's status as an economic and development partner.

Civil society in Myanmar could look towards the West, in particular the United States, for support -- not China.

Myanmar has strategic potential as a land-based energy supply route that avoids the Malacca Strait.

Rapid economic growth will eventually make Myanmar a market for China as well as supplier of resources.

Nonetheless, Myanmar's government will not shun China: its support will be useful in the ethnic ceasefire effort.

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