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Subject

The impact of populist politics on South Korean foreign policy.

Significance

The major foreign policy initiatives of Park Geun-hye's administration have failed to achieve headway and are unlikely to. Structural weaknesses make foreign policy reactive and short-term, inhibit consideration of longer-term strategies and make leaders more susceptible to populism.

Impacts

Seoul has the technical capability to acquire nuclear weapons; the barriers are political.

Discussion of nuclear armament by an erstwhile champion of non-proliferation will weaken the global non-proliferation regime.

Washington already faces an alliance management challenge in the Philippines; populism in South Korea could create another.

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