The process of electing members to the two houses of parliament had the potential to trigger major political crises and violence, but so far the process has unfolded with less turmoil than projected. Peaceful and overall orderly indirect elections are underway. Most regional member states have selected their representatives in the new upper house, and results from elections in clan-based electoral colleges for positions in the 275-person lower house are rolling in.
Withdrawals of regional troops risk elevating insecurity at a time when the new government seeks legitimacy.
Somali populations will be highly susceptible to climate and other humanitarian shocks.
The new president's cabinet will need to balance regional and clan representation, delaying appointments.
