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Significance
The congress ended in the reaffirmation of President Evo Morales’s quest to seek a further term in office when his current one expires in 2020. The lack of an alternative candidate underlines the personalist nature of his government, first elected eleven years ago.
Impacts
The public will look for changes in political leadership, affecting both the MAS and the opposition.
Morales cannot support alternative leadership within the MAS without becoming a 'lame duck'.
He risks growing international criticism that he is manipulating electoral rules for his own benefit.
Any further attempts to alter the text of the constitution would necessitate another referendum, which Morales might lose.
Keywords:
Bolivia,
LA/C,
Argentina,
Brazil,
Chile,
economy,
international relations,
politics,
social,
election,
opposition,
party,
population,
poverty,
welfare
© Oxford Analytica 2019. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2016
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