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Significance

The bombing is the latest setback for the government. Recent military gains against Boko Haram and increasing oil production in the Niger Delta have failed to offset the distinct governance problems facing Abuja. Amid a deepening economic crisis, President Muhammadu Buhari is facing challenges within the ruling alliance and emergent political threats nationwide.

Impacts

Presidential succession manoeuvring could undermine unity, leading to ruling party infighting and a possible contested nomination process.

Key members of Buhari’s inner circle will come under pressure to resign as new scandals emerge.

Populist alternatives to the president will surface, as citizens grow frustrated with economic stagnation and high prices.

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