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Significance

This followed a policy shift by US President Donald Trump, who on February 15, in a joint press conference with visiting Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, announced that he was equally prepared to consider a two-state or a one-state option, whichever both parties preferred. This broke with US policy since the 1993 Oslo Agreement to support an independent Palestinian state as part of a final deal.

Impacts

Netanyahu, facing corruption charges at home, will placate the far-right members of his cabinet with an expansionist West Bank policy.

The international community will fiercely resist any attempt to abandon the two-state solution.

Israel could face a challenge to settler activity in the International Criminal Court, prompting a US backlash against the Court.

The risk of a new Palestinian intifada and protests in other Arab countries would rise as the shape of the new negotiations becomes clear.

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