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Significance
The Kremlin is saying nothing, but seems unlikely to approve an extension and has not initiated the legislation needed for this. Ending the treaty will annul Tatarstan's claim to unique political and economic sovereignty, although its real autonomy has been greatly eroded over the last decade.
Impacts
Abandoning the Tatarstan treaty may signal a new Kremlin impetus for greater centralisation and a unitary state.
Tatarstan will retain its position as a wealthy donor region.
Regional leaders will resent the special treatment given to Crimea and Chechnya at the other end of the economic spectrum.
Keywords:
Russia,
RUCIS,
CIS,
economy,
industry,
politics,
decentralisation,
fiscal,
government,
regional,
oil,
treaty,
banking,
constitution,
election,
nationality,
protest,
religion
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2017
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