The crisis in the predominantly anglophone Northwest and Southwest regions has escalated in recent months, with a heightened security crackdown on pro-independence demonstrators resulting in civilian deaths. This has prompted a spike in violence by more radical separatist groups -- such as the Ambazonia Governing Council (AGC), which advocates a separate 'Southern Cameroons' or 'Ambazonia' anglophone state -- and the deaths of several security personnel.
While Biya could invoke extraordinary measures, he is unlikely to postpone the 2018 elections and risk tainting his continued tenure.
International arrest warrants issued by the government against key separatist leaders are unlikely to be acted upon by Western partners.
The government's heavy-handed response will increase international scrutiny of the regime's tactics and alleged human rights abuses.
