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Significance

The Russian government has clamped down on dissent while injecting large subsidies into Crimea since seizing the territory in 2014. The costs of this financial support have increased, at the expense of other Russian regions. Moscow appears reluctant to intervene more forcefully to promote effective economic and political management in Crimea.

Impacts

As Russia has made it clear its claim to Crimea is non-negotiable, EU and US sanctions are unlikely to be lifted over the course of 2018.

Holding Russia's presidential election on March 18, the date Crimea was annexed in 2014, shows a determination to keep the issue alive.

The wave of enthusiasm for 'regaining' Crimea has waned in Russia, weakening its mobilising power.

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