Some observers, and some Tunisians themselves, argue the successes so far achieved are explained by a set of factors unique to Tunisia, including: a homogeneous population; a small and apolitical army; and the legacy of educational reforms and progressive family laws that have enhanced women’s rights. The pessimistic corollary is that Tunisia’s hopeful transition has little to offer as a model for the rest of the Arab region. However, a closer examination suggests the Tunisian case is not as anomalous as it might seem.
Tunisia’s democratic transition has many built-in advantages but it is neither unique nor a preordained success.
Popular disillusionment with political parties and institutions of government will continue until serious economic problems are addressed.
The international community will lend to Tunisia to keep on track its ‘model’ democratic political reform, but this creates a debt burden.
Eventually the government will be forced to address popular demands, rather than buying off protesters with patronage.
