Open figure viewer
Significance
This is bad news for the ruling Farabundo Marti National Liberation Front (FMLN), which has been losing support thanks to El Salvador’s weak security situation and widespread perceptions of government ineffectiveness. With ARENA the dominant party at municipal and legislative level, the FMLN will be on the back foot going into presidential election campaigning in 2019.
Impacts
Sluggish economic growth in 2018 will further fuel anti-FMLN sentiment.
The end of US Temporary Protected Status for Salvadorans in 2019 may eventually hit remittance income, further undermining growth.
ARENA’s victory will increase political polarisation, given its deep unpopularity with the left.
Keywords:
El Salvador,
LA/C,
economy,
politics,
social,
crime,
election,
government,
opposition,
security,
civil war,
poverty,
regional,
welfare,
legislation,
party,
reform
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2018
You do not currently have access to this content.
