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Subject

Chinese military bases in the Indian Ocean.

Significance

China relies on shipping through the Indian Ocean for its energy. A large and growing number of Chinese nationals live in unstable countries in the region. These concerns are driving China to expand its military presence there. A network of bases would increase Beijing's options should it ever need to protect shipping from interdiction or protect Chinese nationals caught up in a civil war.

Impacts

India will respond to China’s growing presence by accelerating its security partnerships and military bases in the Indian Ocean.

US military dominance in the Indian Ocean is being eroded.

Competition for regional influence will grow among China, India, the United States, and potentially some middle players.

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