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Subject

Russian attempts at destabilising Central-Eastern Europe.

Significance

Russia is engaged in an active campaign of overt and covert attempts to influence Central-East European (CEE) leaders and populations. However, although it can exacerbate existing divisions and trends, there is little evidence that Russia will have any decisive impact.

Impacts

Russian influence operations cannot create inter- and intra-national disputes in the region, but they do capitalise on and exacerbate them.

The region will continue to be susceptible to Russian manipulation because of weak institutions and historic and economic ties to Moscow.

Eroded institutions and public trust will expose countries to other influence operations, from populists at home to China in the longer run.

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