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Significance

With less than three weeks to go before the October 7 first round of the Brazilian presidential elections, frontrunner Bolsonaro remains hospitalised after being stabbed in the abdomen during a rally earlier this month. Separately, after a lengthy legal battle, the Worker’s Party (PT) has officially replaced former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva with former Sao Paulo Mayor Fernando Haddad as its candidate.

Impacts

Bolsonaro’s health has become a source of uncertainty surrounding the election.

Anti-PT sentiment makes Haddad the most convenient adversary for Bolsonaro in a runoff.

Gomes is the best positioned to stop Haddad from reaching the second round.

Bolsonaro's warnings of possible second-round fraud risk stirring violence if he loses.

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