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Significance

The meeting, hosted by Saudi Arabia, followed a peace summit between Ethiopia and Eritrea the previous day. Rapprochement between Djibouti and Eritrea, the Horn of Africa’s two smallest states, is an obscure but essential piece of a new Ethiopian-led peace jigsaw, which is rapidly reconfiguring the Horn’s habitually fraught inter-state relations.

Impacts

The deal will alter the fast-changing regional outlook for ports and trade corridors, increasing competition and lowering freight fees.

Opening Assab to Ethiopian trade will not greatly undercut the Djibouti-Ethiopia railway or Djibouti’s new Chinese port and free trade zone.

Peace could also boost the relevance of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development, the regional bloc based in Djibouti.

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