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Subject
Regional security dynamics in Central Africa.
Significance
Two decades after regional interventions saw eastern Congo’s conflict evolve into what has been widely described as ‘Africa’s World War’, regional military interference appeared to be declining. However, this trend may be reversing, raising the spectre of a return to the days of regional proxy warfare, with Congo once again the fulcrum.
Impacts
Conflicts over land or control of illicit cross-border trade could quickly escalate.
The proliferation of armed groups -- over 120 now operate in the Kivus alone -- will increase the volatility of the security situation.
A more generalised wave of violence across the Kivus could even trigger open intervention by neighbouring countries.
Keywords:
Central Africa,
AF,
Burundi,
Congo-Kinshasa,
Rwanda,
Uganda,
international relations,
politics,
border conflict,
civil war,
ethnic,
guerrillas,
military,
security,
social,
constitution,
crime,
election,
foreign policy,
police,
regional,
war
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2018
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