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Significance

A victory at The Hague would have enhanced President Evo Morales’s political standing ahead of his re-election bid next year. By the same token, Chilean President Sebastian Pinera has hailed the ruling, although much of the litigation took place under his predecessor.

Impacts

The Bolivian opposition’s electoral campaign will focus more on the legality of Morales’s running again than the ICJ case.

Peru’s position on resolving Bolivia’s landlocked status is likely to remain ambivalent.

Completion of the Ilo-Santos railway project would help reduce Bolivia’s economic dependence on Chile.

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