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Daily Briefing| October 12 2018

AMLO plans for Central American migrants look naive

Publisher: Oxford Analytica
Online ISSN: 2633-304X
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2018
Expert Briefings (2018)
https://doi.org/10.1108/OXAN-DB239137
Subject

Regional migration issues.

Significance

Mexican President-elect Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) on October 3 said US President Donald Trump “looks favourably” on his plans to stem northward migration by promoting economic development in Central America. The remarks followed a call between the leaders that Trump described as “great”, with the US president adding that “we will work well together”. Whether such goodwill will last is doubtful, particularly regarding the issue of migration, on which the leaders have thus far taken diametrically opposed stances.

Impacts

Increased migration from Nicaragua and Venezuela could test stability in Costa Rica and Panama.

Global warming will hit Central America hard, with droughts and flooding affecting food security, fuelling migration.

Toughened security on the US-Mexico border will make people smuggling highly profitable for crime cartels.

Keywords: Mexico, Central America, LA/C, Belize, Canada, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama, United States, MEXICO/CENTRAL AMERICA, economy, international relations, politics, aid, foreign policy, foreign trade, immigration, poverty, security
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2018
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