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Subject

Chinese security assistance to Afghanistan and Tajikistan.

Significance

China is reportedly providing direct aid to Afghanistan's security forces, including base-building, contributions of equipment and joint patrols to strengthen links and capacity. Some interpret this as a sign of a rising power expanding its military activities beyond its borders and expect Beijing to become more active in the region's political affairs.

Impacts

Chinese economic involvement in Tajikistan may eventually bring some political leverage.

Expanding Chinese economic involvement with Central Asia does not necessarily mean a greater military presence will follow.

Regional governments and Western stakeholders alike will be frustrated by China's unwillingness to take a leadership role in Afghanistan.

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