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Significance
Three female candidates lead the polls at this point. However, all three face legal challenges to their candidacies, raising the prospect that some may be barred before June. With corruption set to be the key electoral issue, all presidential hopefuls will strive to present themselves as the cleanest candidate as campaigning kicks off in earnest.
Impacts
The election of an anti-corruption candidate could pave the way for the CICIG’s mandate to be reinstated.
A new president would enable a reset of relations with Washington, which is becoming increasingly critical of the Morales administration.
The new administration could halt controversial proposed legal changes to allow amnesties for civil war human rights abusers.
Keywords:
Guatemala,
LA/C,
politics,
corruption,
election,
government,
judicial,
opposition,
party,
crime
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2019
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