In recent months, a heightened crackdown on political dissent, alongside a deteriorating security crisis in the predominantly anglophone Northwest and Southwest, has prompted Nagy and other international actors to criticise the Biya administration's approach publicly.
Infighting and inadequate resources will hamper separatist fighters, but a deadlocked conflict may take hold over the short-to-medium term.
Violence in the Northwest and Southwest will likely spiral further, leading to a worsened humanitarian situation.
Businesses and schools in anglophone regions will face further disruption due to 'ghost town' strikes, with major economic and social costs.
A growing political crackdown could prompt increased civil unrest in major cities in the predominantly francophone regions.
