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Significance
The elections were the first real test of the strength of President Lenin Moreno’s reformed Alianza Pais (AP), which has splintered since former President Rafael Correa left office in 2017. Initial results signal the collapse of the party as a national political force and the fragmentation of the political field.
Impacts
AP’s poor performance will encourage party legislators to defect as the presidential and legislative elections approach.
The legislature will become more fragmented and Moreno will become more reliant on cross-party alliances to pass legislation.
The right will be well placed to win the presidential election, though Correa and his supporters will mount a serious challenge.
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2019
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