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Subject

Outlook for the space sector.

Significance

Use of outer space is proliferating, spurred by new technologies, falling costs and supportive government policies.

Impacts

Space governance is unlikely to improve without a crisis or significant commercial vested interests favouring change.

Human-made debris in orbit is the greatest threat to space development.

Development of space weapons will be largely covert or unacknowledged, and not a high priority.

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