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Daily Briefing| August 16 2019

Concerns will grow over bitter Ivory Coast elections

Oxford Analytica
Oxford Analytica
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Author & Article Information
Publisher: Oxford Analytica
Online ISSN: 2633-304X
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2019
Expert Briefings (2019)
https://doi.org/10.1108/OXAN-DB245849
Subject

Ivorian pre-poll mobilisation.

Significance

Recent comments by President Alassane Ouattara on amending the constitution, coupled with contentious electoral reforms, have ramped up fears for the potential for violence in next year’s presidential election. With a little over a year to polling, key political figures, notably former President Laurent Gbagbo (2000-11), former President Henri Konan Bedie (1993-99) and former National Assembly President Guillaume Soro, are exploring varying political alliances to unseat Ouattara’s ruling Rally of the Houphouetists for Democracy and Peace (RHDP).

Impacts

Strong economic growth prospects will help Ouattara’s presidential bid or that of his anointed successor.

Concerns will grow over the potential for renewed military unrest linked to a Soro presidential bid.

Controversial former minister Charles Ble Goude, recently acquitted on war crimes charges, could emerge as a spoiler in next year's polls.

Keywords: Ivory Coast, AF, international relations, politics, election, government, opposition, party, constitution, guerrillas, international law, legislation, military, protest, reform, regional, security, talks
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2019
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