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Subject

France's diplomatic push with Russia.

Significance

French President Emmanuel Macron is seeking to reboot Europe's relationship with Russia after years of tension. However, there are several foreign and domestic obstacles that reduce the likelihood of long-term success.

Impacts

Some European states may counter French foreign policy dominance by focusing on other formats such as the Visegrad Group.

Better relations with Moscow would increase the ease and security with which European businesses can operate in Russia.

The Netherlands may make participation in Macron's initiative contingent on Russian cooperation in the MH17 investigation.

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