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Significance
The clashes reflect simmering contestation resulting from cleavages within the Oromo political elite and public between those broadly aligned with the moderate Abiy and ethno-nationalist forces aligned with Jawar Mohammed, an influential Oromo activist and media owner. These tensions have both regional and national implications.
Impacts
Unresolved divisions within ODP may undermine Abiy’s chances of continuing as premier after the next elections.
Deepening tensions could trigger a broader realignment of national political forces between ethno-nationalists and pan-Ethiopian forces.
The lack of moderation in most parties’ policies will undermine many attempts to form new cooperative blocs.
Keywords:
Ethiopia,
AF,
politics,
social,
decentralisation,
election,
ethnic,
government,
party,
protest,
regional,
security,
human rights
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2019
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