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Significance

Geingob faces a vigorous challenge from independent candidate Dr Panduleni Itula, who has capitalised on the ongoing ‘Fishrot’ corruption scandal that has engulfed the government and unnerved the ruling SWAPO party. Meanwhile, a legal challenge to the use of electronic voting machines (EVMs) risks delaying the poll.

Impacts

Populist policies on black economic empowerment, investment and land reform will continue to undermine wider investor confidence.

Concerns about the reliability of EVMs may see the legitimacy of the election questioned.

Lack of significant rainfall will worsen conditions for the quarter of the population requiring food aid amid an ongoing drought emergency.

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