Iowa’s caucuses are the first contests in the race to win a party’s presidential nomination; in 2020, incumbent President Donald Trump will be the Republican nominee, so the Iowa caucuses on this occasion matter more for the Democrats. The last four Democratic presidential nominees won in Iowa, and no eventual nominee has finished lower than fourth there. However, this year’s campaign may be different, as the share of the vote gained by the leading candidates was likely low and clustered.
Super Tuesday, when 14 states hold primaries, will winnow the Democratic candidate field further.
There will be calls for Iowa to change its caucus system partly or fully by January 2024.
President Donald Trump’s strong victory in Iowa’s Republican caucuses will further strengthen his capture of the party.
