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Subject

Philippine-US security ties.

Significance

President Rodrigo Duterte’s government earlier this month notified Washington that Manila was withdrawing from the 1998 Visiting Forces Agreement (VFA), which provides a legal framework for US military personnel to deploy to the Philippines on a temporary basis. The withdrawal will come into effect 180 days from notification.

Impacts

Fallout from abrogating the VFA could include increased tensions between the United States and China.

Washington will count on certain South-east Asian countries such as Singapore to increase defence cooperation with the United States.

US military ties with Japan, South Korea and Australia will remain strong.

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