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Significance
However, containment measures will cause social tensions and devastate tourism and fishing, their two key income sources.
Impacts
Unemployment will rise as businesses are forced to close, sharply reducing incomes.
If containment measures fail and external capacity is unavailable, a higher death toll can be expected.
China, rivalling Australia and New Zealand for Pacific influence, may fill any aid gaps Canberra and Wellington do not fill.
Keywords:
Pacific,
AP,
American Samoa,
Australia,
China,
Cook Islands,
Fiji,
French Polynesia,
Guam,
Indonesia,
Kiribati,
Marshall Islands,
Micronesia,
Nauru,
New Caledonia,
New Zealand,
Papua New Guinea,
Solomon Islands,
Tonga,
Vanuatu,
Western Samoa,
PACIFIC ISLANDS,
politics,
agriculture,
fishing,
food,
foreign policy,
foreign trade,
health,
remittances,
tourism,
economy,
industry,
social,
Agribusiness & food,
Materials,
Travel & tourism,
Healthcare
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2020
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