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Significance

Relationships with allies and rivals are being strained under medical supplies competition, and there are worries about whether Washington will be willing to play a global leadership role in handling the crisis and its aftermath, principally the global economic fallout.

Impacts

Trump will favour the fait accompli over consensus-building in policy decisions during COVID-19.

Beijing and Washington will stop rhetorical conflict and step up trade talks if this will aid economic recovery.

COVID-19 restrictions will inhibit US military capacity, and could invite attacks on forces overseas.

There will be calls to 'reshore' US medical production from overseas.

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