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Subject

Calls for China to be more transparent over COVID-19's origins and spread.

Significance

China has a critical role to play in providing data to the rest of the world on infections and fatalities related to COVID-19. However, there are widespread doubts over the reliability of the data that China supplies.

Impacts

Criticism at home and abroad will do nothing to change the Communist Party’s calculation of the risks and benefits of transparency.

Beijing will view foreign criticism of its data as deliberately subversive.

Beijing will dismiss public calls for greater transparency in favour of even stronger central control.

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