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Significance
Rival blocs had been backing Oshiomole and 'Acting National Chairman' Victor Giadom, who received the tacit endorsement of President Muhammadu Buhari. These tensions reflect attempts to control the party machinery as presidential aspirants vie to succeed Buhari in 2023.
Impacts
With Buhari gradually becoming a 'lame duck', he will struggle to delay outlining a preferred successor while keeping the party united.
A convention to elect a new APC leadership will likely be dogged by controversy and could prompt a new round of defections.
A failure by the APC to unite over the short term could result in the creation of a new political coalition ahead of the 2023 polls.
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2020
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