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Significance
Prime Minister Prayut Chan-o-cha remains under pressure to carry out a cabinet reshuffle to contain government infighting. At the same time, the government is trying to spur a recovery from the economic slump caused by the COVID-19 crisis.
Impacts
The departure of technocratic ministers from the cabinet would set back investor confidence.
A COVID-19 state of emergency could be extended beyond end-July, even though Thailand appears to have the pandemic under control.
The government will continue to direct legal cases against opposition leaders to hamper their parties.
© Oxford Analytica 2020. All rights reserved. This content contains general information about geopolitical, macroeconomic and social developments or (where stated) other matters. It does not contain advice or recommendations that may be relied on. Where links to external websites are provided, this does not indicate that Oxford Analytica or Emerald agree with, endorse or have checked for accuracy the contents of said sites.
2020
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